tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 149 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AV 149 · IAD → BOG

departs 6:48 AM ET · arrives 11:19 AM -05
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BOG?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.