Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12
B6 1957 · FLL → BAQ
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 1:01 PM -05
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sun 10/11 30%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 17%
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 24%
Fri 10/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BAQ more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BAQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at BAQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BAQ?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from FLL are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BAQ
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BAQ (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.