B6 2925 · RDU → FLL

departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 4:09 PM ET

Your aircraft is N568JB (A320).

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ FLL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2925 · RDU → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?