B6 337 · BDL → MCO

departs 12:16 PM ET · arrives 3:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BDL that day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.40 in

MCO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 337 · BDL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?