B6 407 · BOS → BNA

took off 1:12 PM ET · expected to land 2:24 PM CT (scheduled 12:59 PM ET → 2:56 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 407 · BOS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?