B6 484 · RDU → BOS

departs 8:50 AM ET · arrives 10:48 AM ET

Your aircraft is N3296J (BCS3), coming in as B6 1883 from BOS: in the air, landing about 7:46 AM ET, 57 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 484 · RDU → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?