B6 572 · FLL → LGA

took off 8:30 PM ET · expected to land 10:49 PM ET (scheduled 8:15 PM ET → 11:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 572 · FLL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?