B6 638 · AUS → BOS

took off 6:36 PM CT · expected to land 11:09 PM ET (scheduled 4:30 PM CT → 9:34 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
96%
Over 2 hours late
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 638 · AUS → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?