B6 767 · MCO → PSE

took off 5:07 AM ET · expected to land 7:30 AM AT (scheduled 5:01 AM ET → 8:05 AM AT)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PSE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PSE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MCO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSE (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 767 · MCO → PSE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSE?