B6 8357 · BOS → SFO

departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 8:05 PM PT

Your aircraft is N526JL (A320).

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

SFO (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 8357 · BOS → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?