B6 906 · ORD → JFK

departs 6:16 AM CT · arrives 9:30 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at JFK that day

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 906 · ORD → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?