B6 933 · BOS → SFO

departs 6:16 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM PT

Your aircraft is N962JT (A321), coming in as B6 434 from SFO: landed 6:33 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

SFO (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 933 · BOS → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?