BA 175 · LHR → JFK

took off 10:31 AM BST (scheduled 10:15 AM BST → 1:44 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at JFK that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 175 · LHR → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?