BA 219 · LHR → DEN

took off 2:00 PM BST (scheduled 1:35 PM BST → 4:15 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±5 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 219 · LHR → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?