BA 271 · LHR → LAS

departs 12:19 PM BST · arrives 3:07 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±5 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LHR

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LHR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

BA 271 · LHR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?