C5 4275 · CRP → IAH

departs 7:12 AM CT · arrives 8:21 AM CT

Your aircraft is N12195 (E145), coming in as C5 4856 from IAH: landed 9:00 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ C5's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CRP

Weather at each end

CRP (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4275 · CRP → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?