C5 4324 · IAH → MFE

departs 7:32 AM CT · arrives 8:59 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MFE?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MFE (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

C5 4324 · IAH → MFE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFE?