CM 476 · PTY → DEN

departs 12:56 PM EST · arrives 5:33 PM MT

Your aircraft is HP1839 (B738).

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at PTY that day

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PTY (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

CM 476 · PTY → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?