Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1165
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
DL 1165 · SEA → SLC
departs 5:59 PM PT · arrives 9:06 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 16%
Wed 10/14 18%
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 34%
Sat 10/17 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.