DL 133 · AMS → DTW

departs 9:21 AM CEST · arrives 11:56 AM ET

Your aircraft is N515DN (A359), coming in as DL 160 from MSP: landed 6:01 AM CEST.

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DTW that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AMS is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 133 · AMS → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?