Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1449 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Today

DL 1449 · IAH → LGA

departs 10:52 AM CT · arrives 3:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

LGA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3.16667 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1449 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?