DL 1655 · BOS → SFO

took off 6:04 PM ET · expected to land 9:06 PM PT (scheduled 5:05 PM ET → 8:51 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

LIVE

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

SFO (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1655 · BOS → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?