Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1875 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:12 AM PT (17 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

DL 1875 · LAX → SJD

departs 10:46 AM PT · arrives 1:22 PM MST

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJD?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at LAX that day

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SJD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.33 in

SJD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1875 · LAX → SJD

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJD?