DL 1894 · ATL → SXM

departs 9:52 AM ET · arrives 1:59 PM AST

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at SXM more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SXM?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SXM (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1894 · ATL → SXM

Odds over time

How late will it get to SXM?