DL 1908 · JFK → SDQ

departs 2:02 PM ET · arrives 5:54 PM AST

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at SDQ more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SDQ?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at SDQ that day

↑ 2pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SDQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

SDQ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1908 · JFK → SDQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SDQ?