Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1951
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
DL 1951 · SJD → SLC
departs 1:48 PM MST · arrives 6:03 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Mon 10/12
Thu 10/15 16%
Fri 10/16 18%
Sat 10/17 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SJD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD
Weather at each end
SJD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.79 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.