Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2017
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
DL 2017 · LGA → RDU
departs 2:25 PM ET · arrives 4:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from LGA are often late
↑
Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.08 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.