DL 2022 · PHL → SLC

took off 7:05 PM ET · expected to land 9:33 PM MT (scheduled 6:55 PM ET → 9:45 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

2% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

LIVE

On time or early
98%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ 6pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

SLC (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2022 · PHL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?