DL 2046 · SLC → BZN

departs 11:05 PM MT · arrives 12:23 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BZN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at BZN that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,633 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.56 in

BZN (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2046 · SLC → BZN

Odds over time

How late will it get to BZN?