DL 2251 · LGA → ORD

departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:32 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LGA are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2251 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?