DL 2305 · BOS → DFW

took off 8:44 PM ET · expected to land 11:16 PM CT (scheduled 7:50 PM ET → 11:04 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.41 in

DFW (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2305 · BOS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?