DL 2715 · DTW → BWI

departs 9:23 PM ET · arrives 11:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2715 · DTW → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?