Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 274 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:30 PM JST (55 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

DL 274 · HND → DTW

departs 6:26 PM JST · arrives 5:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

94% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HND

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HND (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 274 · HND → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?