Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2878 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:18 PM ET (16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Monday, October 12 Today

DL 2878 · TLH → ATL

departs 6:58 PM ET · arrives 8:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from TLH are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

TLH (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2878 · TLH → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?