DL 2887 · BOS → MCO

left the gate 5:09 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 3:27 PM ET → 6:54 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N109DN (A321), coming in as DL 1953 from FLL: landed 3:41 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2887 · BOS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?