Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3066
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
DL 3066 · DTW → ORF
departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 11:57 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Mon 10/12
Odds over time
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ORF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to ORF?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from DTW are often late
↑
DTW is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at ORF that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
ORF (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.