Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3066
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
DL 3066 · ORF → DTW
departs 12:48 PM ET · arrives 2:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ORF is prone to delays
↑
DTW is busy at that time
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORF (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.