Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3073 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Today

DL 3073 · DTW → RIC

departs 2:24 PM ET · arrives 4:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↑ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3073 · DTW → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?