DL 557 · ATL → LGA

departs 9:30 AM ET · arrives 11:43 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.85714 mi forecast at LGA that day

↑ 9am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 557 · ATL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?