DL 625 · JFK → MEX

departs 9:29 AM ET · arrives 12:20 PM CST

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at JFK that day

↑ 9am departures from JFK are often late

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.10 in

MEX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 625 · JFK → MEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEX?