Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 689 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

DL 689 · LAX → SFO

departs 12:00 PM PT · arrives 1:24 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

SFO (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 689 · LAX → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?