Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 833 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 12 Tomorrow

DL 833 · ANC → SEA

departs 7:57 AM AKT · arrives 12:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ 7am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

SEA (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 833 · ANC → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?