DL 8786 · FLL → CVG

took off 12:45 PM ET · landed 2:51 PM ET (scheduled 12:41 PM ET → 3:09 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CVG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.06 mi forecast at CVG that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.06 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8786 · FLL → CVG

Odds over time

How late did it get to CVG?