DL 8926 · SFO → LAS

departs 2:01 PM PT · arrives 3:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8926 · SFO → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?