Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1052
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
F9 1052 · LAS → DFW
departs 2:22 PM PT · arrives 7:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/15 31%
Sun 10/18 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.