Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1267
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
F9 1267 · SLC → LAX
departs 6:59 PM MT · arrives 8:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Mon 10/12
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±15 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.56 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.