Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1490
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
F9 1490 · LAS → IAH
departs 12:52 AM PT · arrives 6:05 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.2d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
12am departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 11,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 8,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.