Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2925
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
F9 2925 · BWI → TPA
departs 8:16 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 10%
Wed 10/14 11%
Sat 10/17 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 233 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BWI that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
TPA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 233 ft Visibility 1.53333 mi Precip 0.35 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.