Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2959
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
F9 2959 · IAD → FLL
departs 6:09 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 24%
Wed 10/14 39%
Thu 10/15 47%
Fri 10/16 58%
Sat 10/17 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.24 in
FLL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.