F9 3308 · SFO → LAX

departs 8:48 AM PT · arrives 10:22 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±4 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 3308 · SFO → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?